Paul Krugman wrote in the N.Y.
Times on 27 April, “All around Europe’s periphery, from Spain to Latvia, austerity
policies have produced Depression-level slumps and Depression-level
unemployment; the confidence fairy is nowhere to be seen, not even in Britain,
whose turn to austerity two years ago was greeted with loud hosannas by policy
elites on both sides of the Atlantic.”
Writing
in the Brooklings Papers On Economic Activity, Spring 2012, Jay
Shambaugh says,“The euro area faces three interlocking crises that together
challenge the viability of the currency union. There is a banking crisis –
where banks are undercapitalized and have faced liquidity problems. There is a
sovereign debt crisis – where a number of countries have faced rising bond
yields and challenges funding themselves. Lastly, there is a growth crisis –
with both a low overall level of growth in the euro area and an unequal
distribution across countries. Crucially, these crises connect to one another.
Bailouts of banks have contributed to the sovereign debt problems, but banks
are also at risk due to their holdings of sovereign bonds that may face
default. Weak growth contributes to the potential insolvency of the sovereigns,
but also, the austerity inspired by the debt crisis is constraining growth.
Finally, a weakened banking sector holds back growth while a weak economy
undermines the banks. This paper details the three crises, their
interconnections, and possible policy solutions. Unless policy responses take
into account the interdependent nature of the problems, partial solutions will
likely be incomplete or even counterproductive.” (I highly recommend this link; but if it will not open, copy it into your internet browser to read it. http://bit.ly/JifIQK )
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